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BCIS facilities management forecast

Published: 26/03/2026

BCIS produces five-year construction industry forecasts, covering projected costs and output, and examining the latest construction market trends.

The quarterly BCIS maintenance, cleaning and energy briefing is a building maintenance market report. It reflects our view of construction repair and maintenance (R&M) output, and private and public sector building maintenance, cleaning and energy costs, against the backdrop of the wider economic background.

This forecast is based on information available up to 10 March 2026. The full briefing is available to subscribers of BCIS OpX.

BCIS maintenance, cleaning and energy forecast: 4Q2025 – 4Q2030

Maintenance costs, as measured by the BCIS All-in Maintenance Cost Indices, are set to rise 15% over the five years to 4Q2030, according to our latest forecast data. Cleaning costs are expected to rise by 23% over the same period, largely driven by increasing labour costs, while energy costs are forecast to decline overall by around 3% between 2025 and 2030.

Dr David Crosthwaite, chief economist at BCIS, said: ‘The UK facility management sector is operating in a challenging environment, with slow economic growth, persistent inflationary pressures and continued volatility in global energy markets.

‘While repair and maintenance output is expected to grow over the forecast period, pressure on labour costs, combined with uncertainty around energy prices, means organisations will need to keep a close focus on cost control.’

Despite the challenging backdrop, R&M output is expected to grow modestly over the forecast period. However, escalating geopolitical tensions associated with the conflict in Iran, alongside rising energy costs, are likely to weigh on economic confidence and investment, potentially constraining the pace of growth. It is too early to fully assess the economic implications. However, a prolonged period of elevated energy prices could sustain broader inflationary pressures and slow the pace of monetary easing.

R&M output is forecast to increase by 9% between 2025 and 2030, having increased by an expected 1.7% in 2025.

Dr Crosthwaite said: ‘Political instability in the Middle East has contributed to disruptions in global oil and gas supply chains, leading to sharp increases in wholesale energy prices and renewed inflationary risks in the UK economy. In this uncertain environment, organisations that prioritise energy efficiency and long-term strategic planning are likely to be better positioned to maintain operational continuity and financial stability.’

The full details of the five-year forecast are available in BCIS OpX.

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Quarterly updates to forecasts are published for maintenance, cleaning and energy, building, and infrastructure, while an annual update is published for the economic significance of maintenance. Non-subscribers can access the previous year’s economic significance of maintenance report to find out more about its coverage.

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BCIS OpX

The full BCIS Facilities Management Quarterly briefing: Maintenance, cleaning and energy is published in the Briefing section, as part of BCIS OpX

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