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BCIS facilities management forecast

Published: 21/03/2025

BCIS produces five-year construction industry forecasts, covering projected costs and output, and examining the latest construction market trends.

The quarterly BCIS maintenance, cleaning and energy briefing is a building maintenance market report. It presents our view of construction repair and maintenance output, and private and public sector building maintenance, cleaning and energy costs, against the backdrop of the wider economic background.

The full briefing is available to subscribers of BCIS OpX.

BCIS maintenance, cleaning and energy forecast: 4Q2024 – 4Q2029

Maintenance costs, as measured by the BCIS All-in Maintenance Cost Indices, are set to rise 17% by 4Q2029, according to our latest forecast data.

Cleaning costs, mainly driven by labour costs, are expected to rise by 27.5% over the forecast period, while BCIS expects energy prices to fall by 6% over the same period.

Dr David Crosthwaite, Chief Economist at BCIS, said: ‘The repair and maintenance sector faces a multitude of challenges, from increasing obligations to maintain safe environments to the impact of ongoing economic pressures and uncertainty. Increases to employers’ National Insurance contributions and the National Living and Minimum Wage from April will have a significant effect on payroll expenses. As with the rest of construction, the sector is also constrained by skilled labour shortages.’

Repair and maintenance output rose by 8.5% in 2024, outperforming new work output, which was down by 5.3% on 2023. Public housing R&M increased 14.2%, while private housing rose by 7.0%. Non-housing R&M increased by 8.5% annually.

BCIS forecasts R&M output will grow by 8.2% over the next five years.

Dr Crosthwaite added: ‘We expect growth to slow over the forecast period. Public spending is still highly constrained and will likely impact the growth of public housing, public non-housing and infrastructure R&M. Private non-housing R&M output is likely to be affected by rising costs, with economic uncertainty pushing asset owners into postponing routine maintenance and causing further delays and backlogs.’

Source: BCIS

Note: Output is whole year on whole year, costs are changes from 4Q to 4Q of the previous year

The full details of the forecast are available in BCIS OpX.

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Quarterly updates to forecasts are published for maintenance, cleaning and energy, building, and infrastructure, while an annual update is published for the economic significance of maintenance. Non-subscribers can access the previous year’s economic significance of maintenance report to find out more about its coverage.

Latest building forecast

Latest infrastructure forecast

2023 economic significance of maintenance report

BCIS OpX

The full BCIS Facilities Management Quarterly briefing: Maintenance, cleaning and energy is published in the Briefing section, as part of BCIS OpX

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