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BCIS facilities management forecast

Published: 21/12/2023

BCIS produces five-year construction industry forecasts, covering projected costs and output, and examining the latest construction market trends.  

The quarterly BCIS maintenance, cleaning and energy briefing is a building maintenance market report. It presents our view of construction repair and maintenance output, and private and public sector building maintenance, cleaning and energy costs, against the backdrop of the wider economic background.  

The full briefing is available to subscribers of the BCIS Building Running Costs Online service. 

BCIS maintenance, cleaning and energy forecast: 3Q2023

Maintenance costs, as measured by the BCIS All-in Maintenance Cost Indices, are set to rise by over 16% in the next five years, according to the latest quarterly forecast for the facilities management sector from the Building Cost Information Service.

Ongoing economic constraints mean that the sector will be running with constrained budgets, though the spotlight on RAAC remediation work has highlighted the importance of a good maintenance programme and should be reflected in funding allocation.

Construction repair and maintenance annual output is expected to be negative over the next five years. BCIS anticipates a significant decline to -7% in 2024, followed by slow but steady growth for the remaining forecast period.

In the same period, cleaning costs are forecast to increase by 34%, with a shortage of workers and rising wages expected to be the biggest contributory factors.

Although energy prices are extremely volatile, BCIS expects costs to decline by over 61% over the next five years. In the year to 3Q2023 they decreased by 1% and, as the markets stabilise, BCIS expects costs to continue declining for the remainder of the forecast period.

Source: BCIS (Note - Output is full year on full year, costs are changed from 3Q to 3Q of the previous year)

The full details of the forecast are available in the BCIS Building Running Costs Online service.

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Quarterly updates to forecasts are published for maintenance, cleaning and energy, building, and infrastructure, while an annual update is published for the economic significance of maintenance. Non-subscribers can access the previous year’s economic significance of maintenance report to find out more about its coverage.

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Latest infrastructure forecast

2022 economic significance of maintenance report

Building Running Costs Online

The full BCIS Facilities Management Quarterly briefing: Maintenance, cleaning and energy is published in the Briefing section, as part of BCIS Building Running Costs online

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